Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.049288 0.053605 0.057982 0.062745 0.067774 0.072920 0.078575
2025-05-25 0.040974 0.047159 0.053669 0.061003 0.069011 0.077460 0.087022
2025-06-01 0.035078 0.042509 0.050598 0.059992 0.070540 0.081958 0.095188
2025-06-08 0.032052 0.040611 0.050196 0.061613 0.074729 0.089215 0.106315
2025-06-15 0.029290 0.038685 0.049487 0.062649 0.078077 0.095418 0.116212
2025-06-22 0.026790 0.036805 0.048606 0.063288 0.080813 0.100822 0.125147
2025-06-29 0.024368 0.034793 0.047373 0.063336 0.082716 0.105162 0.132796
2025-07-06 0.023151 0.034160 0.047713 0.065195 0.086716 0.111931 0.143287
2025-07-13 0.021003 0.032161 0.046211 0.064663 0.087722 0.115078 0.149459
2025-07-20 0.019406 0.030761 0.045357 0.064842 0.089522 0.119123 0.156675
2025-07-27 0.018297 0.029929 0.045162 0.065793 0.092235 0.124253 0.165196
2025-08-03 0.017538 0.029519 0.045472 0.067358 0.095700 0.130305 0.174864
2025-08-10 0.015292 0.026893 0.042739 0.064901 0.094043 0.130059 0.176906
2025-08-17 0.013939 0.025462 0.041548 0.064412 0.094860 0.132867 0.182710
2025-08-24 0.012725 0.024149 0.040446 0.063978 0.095703 0.135681 0.188519
2025-08-31 0.012369 0.024118 0.041134 0.065975 0.099747 0.142581 0.199492
2025-09-07 0.011812 0.023730 0.041280 0.067207 0.102773 0.148197 0.208884
2025-09-14 0.011157 0.023139 0.041094 0.067948 0.105131 0.152956 0.217215
2025-09-21 0.010374 0.022281 0.040468 0.068032 0.106577 0.156525 0.224041
2025-09-28 0.010138 0.022317 0.041168 0.070002 0.110596 0.163467 0.235223
2025-10-05 0.009290 0.021250 0.040145 0.069451 0.111133 0.165836 0.240528
2025-10-12 0.008683 0.020555 0.039656 0.069643 0.112672 0.169516 0.247531
2025-10-19 0.008302 0.020236 0.039730 0.070644 0.115330 0.174680 0.256476